Eric J. Chaisson on 2012

This AI Prediction was made by Eric J. Chaisson in 2012.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Accelerating change is supported by a wealth of data, yet the approaching technological singularity of 21st-century cultural evolution



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Eric J. Chaisson:

The technological singularity—one of many other singularities among a plethora of evolutionary milestones in natural history and not likely the pinnacle or culmination of future cosmic evolution


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The text discusses the concept of accelerating change and the approaching technological singularity. It notes that there is a lot of data to support the idea of accelerating change, but the singularity is just one of many evolutionary milestones and not necessarily the ultimate goal of cosmic evolution.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Men and machines need not compete, battle, or become mutually exclusive; they might well join into a symbiotically beneficial relationship as have other past complex systems, beyond which even-higher Φm systems they—and we—may already be ascending with change, that is, evolving a whole new complex state that again becomes greater than the sum of its parts.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Men and machines can work together in a mutually beneficial relationship. This relationship can lead to the creation of even higher complex systems. As these systems evolve, they become greater than the sum of their parts.




Eric J. Chaisson is a renowned astrophysicist, educator, and author. He was born in 1946 in Lowell, Massachusetts, and grew up in a family of educators. Chaisson received his Bachelor’s degree in Physics from Boston University and his Ph.D. in Astrophysics from Harvard University.

Chaisson has made significant contributions to the field of astrophysics, particularly in the study of cosmic evolution. He has authored numerous scientific papers and books, including “Cosmic Dawn: The Search for the First Stars and Galaxies,” “The Hubble Wars: Astrophysics Meets Astropolitics in the Two-Billion-Dollar Struggle over the Hubble Space Telescope,” and “Epic of Evolution: Seven Ages of the Cosmos.”In addition to his research, Chaisson is also a dedicated educator.

He has taught at various institutions, including Harvard University, Tufts University, and the University of Arizona. He is currently a Research Professor of Physics and Astronomy at Tufts University.

Chaisson is also a passionate advocate for science education and outreach. He has worked with organizations such as the National Science Foundation and NASA to promote science literacy and inspire the next generation of scientists.

Throughout his career, Chaisson has received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to astrophysics and science education. He is a Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science and the American Physical Society, and he has been awarded the NASA Public Service Medal and the Phi Beta Kappa Teaching Award.

Overall, Eric J. Chaisson is a respected figure in the field of astrophysics and a dedicated educator and advocate for science education. His work has helped to deepen our understanding of the cosmos and inspire future generations of scientists.







Keywords: technological singularity, accelerating change, symbiotically beneficial relationship