Damien Broderick on 2012

This AI Prediction was made by Damien Broderick in 2012.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

A world that is perhaps only a generation away from birthing nanotechnology and artificial intelligence and machine interfaces and human intelligence amplification.



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Damien Broderick:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Whether it will reach escape velocity and head off up the page to tear through the top of the graph will only be known for sure when we or our flesh and AI descendent are there, beholding endlessly new landscapes of change, no longer hugged terrifyingly by Rilke’s Angel but gazing out from its eyes.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The text discusses the uncertainty of whether technology will reach a point where it surpasses human understanding. The author suggests that only future generations, whether human or AI, will be able to witness this potential event. The text ends with a reference to Rilke’s Angel, implying that this technological advancement may be both awe-inspiring and terrifying.




Damien Broderick is an Australian author, editor, and critic who has made significant contributions to the science fiction genre. Born on April 22, 1944, in Melbourne, Australia, Broderick has been writing since the 1960s and has published over 40 books, including novels, short story collections, and non-fiction works.Broderick’s writing is known for its exploration of complex scientific and philosophical concepts, often blending hard science with speculative fiction.

His work has been praised for its intellectual depth and thought-provoking themes, and he has been recognized with numerous awards, including the Aurealis Award, Ditmar Award, and the John W. Campbell Memorial Award.

In addition to his writing, Broderick has also worked as an editor and critic, contributing to publications such as The Age, The Australian, and Science Fiction Eye. He has edited several anthologies, including The Year’s Best Australian Science Fiction and Fantasy and The Best Science Fiction of the Year.

Broderick’s influence on the science fiction genre extends beyond his own writing and editing. He has been a mentor to many aspiring writers and has served as a judge for several literary awards.

He has also been a guest speaker at numerous conventions and conferences, sharing his insights and expertise with fellow writers and fans.

Despite his many accomplishments, Broderick remains humble and dedicated to his craft. He continues to write and publish new works, exploring the boundaries of science fiction and inspiring a new generation of writers to follow in his footsteps.






Source: https://www.gwern.net/docs/transhumanism/2012-broderick.pdf 


Keywords: nanotechnology, artificial intelligence, human intelligence amplification