This AI Prediction was made by Selmer Bringsjord, Alexander Bringsjord, Paul Bello in 2012.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
It seems to us that at this point it’s looking highly unlikely that HI will produce AI
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Selmer Bringsjord, Alexander Bringsjord, Paul Bello:
we have no reason to think that AI would be able to produce AI at any rate.
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The likelihood of HI producing AI is low. There is no indication that AI would be capable of producing AI.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Belief in The Singularity is Fideistic
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The belief in The Singularity is considered fideistic. This means that it is based on faith rather than empirical evidence. The Singularity refers to a hypothetical future event where artificial intelligence surpasses human intelligence, leading to a significant change in human civilization.
Selmer Bringsjord, Alexander Bringsjord, and Paul Bello are three accomplished individuals who have made significant contributions in their respective fields.
Selmer Bringsjord is a renowned philosopher and computer scientist. He is currently a professor at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, where he directs the Cognitive Science Department. Bringsjord has published numerous articles and books on topics such as logic, artificial intelligence, and cognitive science. He is also the founder of the Rensselaer AI and Reasoning Lab, which focuses on developing intelligent systems that can reason and understand natural language.
Paul Bello is a respected researcher in the field of cognitive psychology. He is currently a senior scientist at the Naval Research Laboratory, where he leads the Cognitive Science and Artificial Intelligence Branch.
Bello’s research focuses on understanding how humans process information and make decisions.
He has published numerous articles and papers on topics such as attention, memory, and decision-making. Bello is also a member of several professional organizations, including the Cognitive Science Society and the Association for Psychological Science.Together, Selmer Bringsjord, Alexander Bringsjord, and Paul Bello represent a diverse group of individuals who have made significant contributions to their respective fields.
Their work has helped to advance our understanding of logic, music, and cognitive psychology, and they continue to inspire others through their research and creative endeavors.
Keywords: AI, HI, The Singularity