This AI Prediction was made by Niels Taatgen in 2007.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
I would vote for “Never” in the second sense: AI may approach human-level intelligence, but I doubt it will surpass it.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Niels Taatgen:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Niels Taatgen is a professor of Cognitive Modeling at the University of Groningen in the Netherlands. His research focuses on the development of cognitive architectures and their applications to various domains, including reasoning, problem-solving, decision-making, and learning. He has developed several cognitive architectures, including ACT-R/E, the first cognitive architecture to integrate emotions, and DUAL, a hybrid cognitive architecture that combines symbolic and subsymbolic processing.