This AI Prediction was made by David C. Noelle in 2007.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
I can make sense of the general question is to interpret it as asking when computers will surpass human performance on essentially all common human tasks that we associate with intelligence. […] I’d guess that we won’t see this goal met until after 2050, and probably after 2070.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from David C. Noelle:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
David C. Noelle is a professor of Cognitive Science and Computer Science at the University of California, Merced. His research focuses on the development of computational models of human cognition and their applications to various domains, including language processing, vision, and decision-making. He has developed several cognitive models, including the Dynamic Field Theory, which models neural activity in the brain as dynamic fields that evolve over time. His work has contributed to a better understanding of how the brain processes information and has applications in fields such as robotics, education, and healthcare.