This AI Prediction was made by Yoshua Bengio in 2015.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
We would be baffled if we could build machines that would have the intelligence of a mouse in the near future, but we are far even from that.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Yoshua Bengio:
I see a lot of good mathematical and computational reasons why A.I. research could one day face a kind of wall (due to exponentially growing complexities) that human intelligence may also face—which could also explain why whales and elephants, which have bigger brains than ours, are not super-intelligent.
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
Building machines with the intelligence of a mouse is still far from being achieved. A.I. research may face a wall due to exponentially growing complexities, which could also explain why larger-brained animals like whales and elephants are not super-intelligent. There are mathematical and computational reasons why A.I. research may face this wall.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
When the question will become relevant, certainly it will be important to bring together scientists, philosophers and jurists to find the best ways to prevent negative consequences
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Experts from different fields, including scientists, philosophers, and jurists, will need to collaborate to prevent negative consequences when the question becomes relevant. The importance of this collaboration cannot be overstated. The goal is to find the best ways to prevent negative consequences.
Yoshua Bengio is a renowned computer scientist and artificial intelligence researcher. He was born on March 5, 1964, in Paris, France. Bengio is a professor at the University of Montreal and the founder and scientific director of Mila, the Quebec Artificial Intelligence Institute. Bengio received his Ph.D. in computer science from McGill University in 1991. He then went on to work as a postdoctoral fellow at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and AT&T Bell Laboratories. In 1993, he joined the faculty of the Department of Computer Science and Operations Research at the University of Montreal, where he has been ever since.Bengio’s research focuses on deep learning, a subfield of machine learning that involves training artificial neural networks to recognize patterns in data. He has made significant contributions to the development of deep learning algorithms and has been recognized with numerous awards for his work, including the Turing Award in 2018, which is considered the highest honor in computer science.In addition to his research, Bengio is also a co-founder of Element AI, a Montreal-based startup that develops AI solutions for businesses. He is a fellow of the Royal Society of Canada and a member of the Order of Canada. Bengio is widely regarded as one of the leading figures in the field of artificial intelligence and has been instrumental in advancing our understanding of deep learning and its applications. His work has had a profound impact on the development of AI technologies and has helped to shape the future of the field.
Keywords: A.I. research, human intelligence, negative consequences