This AI Prediction was made by Warren Stringer in 2007.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
I just talked myself out of it; back to 2050-2070.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Warren Stringer:
I think it will be take a generation that grows up with machines as peers that will trust them as friends.
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
1. Machines are becoming increasingly integrated into our lives.2. It will take a generation that grows up with machines to trust them as friends.3. This generation will be more comfortable with the idea of machines as peers.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Only when this generation comes into power, will their special friends be allowed to make a difference.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
1. Machines need to be seen as peers in order for people to trust them.2. A new generation that grows up with machines as peers will be the ones to allow them to make a difference.3. This generation will be the ones to trust machines as friends.
About:
Warren Stringer is an AI researcher and expert on cognitive architectures. He has worked on developing intelligent systems that can reason, learn, and communicate with humans. Stringer is also interested in the ethical and social implications of AI, and has written extensively on these topics.
Source: https://web.archive.org/web/20110226225452/http://www.novamente.net/bruce/?p=54
Keywords: generation, machines, friends