W. Tecumseh Fitch on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by W. Tecumseh Fitch in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from W. Tecumseh Fitch:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

I don’t fear the triumphal uprising of AIs, but rather a catastrophic system failure caused by multiple minor bugs in over-empowered, interconnected silicon systems. We remain very far from any “Singularity” in which computers outsmart us, but this provides no insurance against a network collapse of catastrophic proportions


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The author is not afraid of AI taking over, but rather a system failure caused by multiple minor bugs in interconnected silicon systems. The possibility of a catastrophic network collapse cannot be ruled out, despite being far from the “Singularity” where computers outsmart humans.




W. Tecumseh Fitch is a renowned cognitive biologist and evolutionary linguist. He was born in 1963 in the United States and received his Bachelor’s degree in Philosophy from Brown University in 1985. He then went on to pursue a Ph.D. in Biology from Harvard University, which he completed in 1990.Fitch’s research focuses on the evolution of language and music, and the cognitive mechanisms that underlie these abilities. He has published numerous articles and books on these topics, including “The Evolution of Language” and “The Biology and Evolution of Music.” His work has been widely recognized and has earned him several awards, including the prestigious Guggenheim Fellowship in 2006.In addition to his research, Fitch is also a dedicated teacher and mentor. He has taught at several universities, including the University of St. Andrews in Scotland, where he is currently a professor of Cognitive Biology. He has also supervised numerous Ph.D. students and postdoctoral researchers, many of whom have gone on to successful careers in academia and industry.Fitch is a Fellow of the Royal Society of Edinburgh and a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He is also a sought-after speaker and has given lectures at universities and conferences around the world. His contributions to the field of cognitive biology and evolutionary linguistics have been invaluable, and his work continues to inspire and inform researchers in these areas.






Source: https://www.edge.org/responses/q2015



Keywords: AIs, system failure, Singularity