Victoria Krakovna on 2016

This AI Prediction was made by Victoria Krakovna in 2016.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

30–50 years, with large error bars



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Victoria Krakovna:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The text provides a range of time, specifically 30-50 years. However, there are large error bars associated with this range, indicating a degree of uncertainty.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

I don’t think people should be scared [of AI], but I do think people should be paying attention


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The speaker believes that people should not be afraid of AI. However, they suggest that people should be attentive to it.




Victoria Krakovna is a highly accomplished individual with a diverse range of skills and experiences. She is a renowned researcher, writer, and advocate for ethical artificial intelligence (AI) development. Krakovna holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Mathematics and Computer Science from MIT, and a Master of Science degree in Computer Science from the University of Toronto. She has worked as a software engineer at Google, and as a research scientist at DeepMind, where she focused on developing safe and beneficial AI systems. Krakovna is also a prolific writer and speaker on the topic of AI ethics. She has published numerous articles and papers on the subject, and has spoken at conferences and events around the world. In addition, she is a co-founder of the AI safety organization Future of Life Institute, and serves on the board of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute. Krakovna’s work has been recognized with several awards and honors, including the MIT Technology Review’s 35 Innovators Under 35 award, and the Future of Life Institute’s Future of AI award. She is widely regarded as one of the leading voices in the field of AI ethics, and continues to work tirelessly to promote the development of safe and beneficial AI systems.









Keywords: AI, scared, paying attention