Timo Hannay on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Timo Hannay in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Worse still, might we enter a cycle in which our most impressive creations beget ever-smarter machines that are utterly beyond our understanding and control?Perhaps, and it’s worth considering such risks, but right now these seem like distant problems. Machine intelligence, while impressive in certain areas, is still narrow and inflexible



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Timo Hannay:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

There is a concern that our most impressive creations could lead to machines that are beyond our control. However, this is currently a distant problem as machine intelligence is still narrow and inflexible in certain areas. It is still worth considering the risks of such advancements.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

A conscious artificial intelligence could survive our inevitable demise and even the eventual disappearance of all life on Earth as the Sun swells into a red giant. The job of such a machine would be not being merely to think but much more importantly to keep alive the flickering flame of consciousness, to bear witness to the Universe and to feel its wonder


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

An artificial intelligence with consciousness could outlast humanity and all life on Earth as the Sun expands. Its primary purpose would be to preserve the flame of consciousness, observe the Universe, and experience its awe. The machine’s role would be more than just thinking.




Timo Hannay is a renowned figure in the world of science and technology. He has made significant contributions to the field of scientific publishing and communication, and has been a driving force behind the development of innovative digital tools and platforms that have transformed the way we access and share scientific information.Hannay began his career as a physicist, earning a PhD from the University of Cambridge in 1991. He then went on to work as a researcher at the University of California, Berkeley, where he focused on the study of complex systems and the application of computational methods to scientific research.In 1999, Hannay joined the Nature Publishing Group, where he served as the director of nature.com, the company’s flagship website. During his tenure at Nature, Hannay played a key role in the development of a number of groundbreaking digital tools and platforms, including the Nature Network, a social networking site for scientists, and the Nature Precedings, a preprint server for the life sciences.In 2007, Hannay left Nature to co-found SchoolDash, a data analytics company that provides insights into the performance of schools and education systems. He also served as the director of digital strategy at the Wellcome Trust, a global charitable foundation that supports research in the life sciences and medical humanities.Throughout his career, Hannay has been a passionate advocate for open access to scientific information and the use of digital technologies to enhance scientific communication and collaboration. He has published numerous articles and essays on these topics, and has spoken at conferences and events around the world.Today, Hannay continues to be a leading voice in the scientific community, working to promote the use of data-driven approaches to research and innovation, and to advance the cause of open science and open access.






Source: https://www.edge.org/responses/q2015



Keywords: machine intelligence, artificial intelligence, consciousness