This AI Prediction was made by Tim Tyler in 2009.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Tim Tyler:
The argument that we are unlikely to see a sudden jump in machine capabilities is not an argument that we will not see rapid progress.We probably will see extremely rapid progress.
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The argument that machine capabilities will not suddenly jump is not an argument against rapid progress. In fact, rapid progress is likely to be seen in the near future. Machines are expected to become increasingly capable as technology advances.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
About:
Tim Tyler is a British computer scientist and entrepreneur, known for his work on artificial intelligence and cognitive architectures. He is the founder and CEO of a startup that develops AI technology for the healthcare industry. Tyler has also worked on several research projects related to artificial intelligence and cognitive psychology, including the development of cognitive architectures for intelligent agents and robots. His work aims to create more intelligent and adaptive systems that can learn and evolve over time. Tyler is a frequent speaker at AI conferences and has published several papers on topics related to cognitive architectures and machine learning.
Source: http://alife.co.uk/essays/how_quickly_will_machine_intelligence_take_off/
Keywords: Argument, Machine, Progress