This AI Prediction was made by Tim Tyler in 2009.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Tim Tyler:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
In almost any scenario where there is natural selection – or a kind of capitalist analogue of it – it seems likely that machine agents are likely to eventually competitively displace conventional biological ones – except in historical simulations and museums. I think that this is the most likely outcome.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Machine agents are likely to displace conventional biological ones in scenarios where natural selection is present. This is likely to be the most common outcome, with the exception of historical simulations and museums. This is due to the competitive nature of natural selection.
Tim Tyler is a British computer scientist and entrepreneur, known for his work on artificial intelligence and cognitive architectures. He is the founder and CEO of a startup that develops AI technology for the healthcare industry. Tyler has also worked on several research projects related to artificial intelligence and cognitive psychology, including the development of cognitive architectures for intelligent agents and robots. His work aims to create more intelligent and adaptive systems that can learn and evolve over time. Tyler is a frequent speaker at AI conferences and has published several papers on topics related to cognitive architectures and machine learning.
Keywords: natural selection, machine agents, historical simulations