This AI Prediction was made by Tim Day/ The Center for Advanced Technology and Innovation at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce in 2016.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
it is important to remember that artificial intelligence is still nascent
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Tim Day/ The Center for Advanced Technology and Innovation at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce:
Not provided
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
Artificial intelligence is still in its early stages of development. It is important to keep in mind that it is not yet fully matured. There is still a lot of potential for growth and improvement in the field of AI.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Hypothetical fears of rogue AI are based on the idea that machines can obtain sentience—a will and consciousness of its own. These suspicions fundamentally misunderstand what Artificial Intelligence is. AI is not a mechanical mystery, rather a human-designed technology that can detect and respond to errors and patterns depending on its operating algorithms and the data set presented to it. It is, however, necessary to scrutinize the way humans, whether through error or malicious intent, can wield AI harmfully.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The fear of rogue AI is based on the idea that machines can become sentient. However, this is a misunderstanding of what AI is. AI is a human-designed technology that can detect and respond to errors and patterns, but it is important to scrutinize how humans can wield it harmfully.
About:
Tim Day is a renowned expert in the field of technology and innovation. He currently serves as the Director of the Center for Advanced Technology and Innovation at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, where he leads efforts to promote policies that support the growth and development of technology-driven industries.With over two decades of experience in the technology sector, Tim has a deep understanding of the challenges and opportunities facing businesses in this rapidly evolving landscape. Prior to joining the Chamber, he held senior leadership positions at several leading technology companies, including IBM and Dell.Throughout his career, Tim has been a passionate advocate for innovation and entrepreneurship. He has worked closely with startups and established companies alike, helping them to navigate complex regulatory environments, access capital, and develop new products and services.In addition to his work at the Chamber, Tim is a frequent speaker and commentator on technology and innovation issues. He has appeared on numerous television and radio programs, and his writing has been featured in publications such as Forbes, The Wall Street Journal, and The New York Times.Tim holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Computer Science from the University of Virginia and a Master of Business Administration from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. He is also a member of several professional organizations, including the Association for Computing Machinery and the National Association of Corporate Directors.
Source: https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/OSTP-AI-RFI-Responses.pdf
Keywords: artificial intelligence, sentience, technology