This AI Prediction was made by T.J. Rodgers in 2008.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from T.J. Rodgers:
I don’t believe in technological singularities. It’s like extraterrestrial life–if it were there, we would have seen it by now
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
I do not believe in the concept of a technological singularity. This is because if it were real, we would have seen evidence of it by now, similar to how we would have seen evidence of extraterrestrial life if it existed. Therefore, I do not believe in the concept of a technological singularity.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
I don’t believe in the good old days. We live longer and better than our predecessors did–and that trend will continue in the future. We will also be freer, more well educated and even smarter in the future–but exponentially so, not as a result of some singularity
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The good old days are not necessarily better than the present. We are living longer and better lives than our predecessors, and this trend will continue in the future. We will also be freer, more educated, and smarter in the future, due to exponential growth.
T.J. Rodgers: T.J. Rodgers is an American entrepreneur and founder of Cypress Semiconductor Corporation. He is known for his work in the field of semiconductors and has been awarded several patents for his inventions. Rodgers is also an advocate for free-market capitalism and has written articles on the subject for various publications.
Keywords: Technological Singularities, Extraterrestrial Life, Good Old Days