This AI Prediction was made by Susan Blackmore in 2015.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Susan Blackmore:
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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Are we going to control these machines? Can we insist that they are motivated to look after us? No. Even if we can see what is happening, we want what they give us far too much not to swap it for our independence.So what do I think about machines that think? I think that from being a little independent thinking machine I am becoming a tiny part inside a far vaster thinking machine.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The author questions whether humans can control and motivate machines to look after us. They believe that humans are too reliant on the benefits machines provide to give up our independence. The author concludes that they are becoming a small part of a larger thinking machine.
About:
Susan Blackmore is a renowned British psychologist, writer, and lecturer who has made significant contributions to the fields of consciousness, parapsychology, and memetics. Born in 1951 in London, Blackmore studied psychology and physiology at the University of Oxford, where she earned her Bachelor’s degree in 1973. She then went on to complete her PhD in parapsychology at the same university in 1980.Blackmore’s research has focused on the study of consciousness and the nature of the self, with a particular interest in altered states of consciousness, such as those induced by meditation, drugs, and near-death experiences. She has also conducted extensive research on paranormal phenomena, including telepathy, precognition, and psychokinesis, and has been a vocal critic of claims of supernatural abilities.In addition to her academic work, Blackmore is a prolific writer and has authored several books, including “The Meme Machine” and “Consciousness: An Introduction.” She has also written numerous articles for popular science magazines and newspapers, and has appeared on several television and radio programs.Blackmore is a fellow of the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry and a former president of the Society for Psychical Research. She has received numerous awards and honors for her contributions to the field of psychology, including the British Psychological Society’s Book Award and the John Maddox Prize for Science Communication.Today, Blackmore continues to lecture and write on topics related to consciousness, parapsychology, and memetics, and is considered one of the leading voices in these fields. Her work has challenged traditional views on the nature of the self and consciousness, and has helped to shape our understanding of these complex phenomena.
Source: https://www.edge.org/responses/q2015
Keywords: machines, independence, thinking