Stuart Russell on 2014

This AI Prediction was made by Stuart Russell in 2014.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Stuart Russell:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

There is cause for optimism, if we understand that this issue is an intrinsic part of AI, much as containment is an intrinsic part of modern nuclear fusion research. The world need not be headed for grief.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

There is hope for the future of AI if we recognize that bias is a natural part of it, similar to how containment is a part of nuclear fusion research. The world does not have to be doomed by this issue.




Stuart Russell is a renowned computer scientist and professor of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science at the University of California, Berkeley. He is also a faculty member of the Berkeley Artificial Intelligence Research (BAIR) Lab and the Center for Human-Compatible Artificial Intelligence (CHAI).Born in Portsmouth, England, in 1962, Russell received his Bachelor’s degree in Physics from Oxford University in 1982 and his Ph.D. in Computer Science from Stanford University in 1986. He then joined the faculty at Berkeley, where he has been teaching and conducting research for over three decades.Russell’s research interests include artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotics, and computational biology. He is best known for his contributions to the field of AI, particularly his work on probabilistic reasoning and decision-making under uncertainty. He is also a co-author of the leading textbook on AI, “Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach,” which has been translated into 13 languages and is widely used in universities around the world.In addition to his academic work, Russell is a Fellow of the Association for Computing Machinery (ACM) and the American Association for Artificial Intelligence (AAAI). He has also received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to the field of AI, including the ACM/AAAI Allen Newell Award, the IJCAI Computers and Thought Award, and the IEEE Intelligent Systems AI’s 10 to Watch Award.Russell is a sought-after speaker and has given talks at conferences and events around the world. He is also a frequent commentator on the societal implications of AI and has written several articles and op-eds on the subject. His work has been featured in numerous media outlets, including The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Economist.Overall, Stuart Russell is a leading figure in the field of AI and has made significant contributions to the development of intelligent systems that are safe, reliable, and beneficial to humanity.









Keywords: optimism, AI, containment