Stuart A. Kauffman on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Stuart A. Kauffman in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Machines That Think? NUTS



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Stuart A. Kauffman:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:




Stuart A. Kauffman is a renowned American theoretical biologist and complex systems researcher. Born on September 28, 1939, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Kauffman received his Bachelor of Science degree in Chemistry and Mathematics from Dartmouth College in 1960. He then went on to earn his M.D. from the University of California, San Francisco, in 1968, and his Ph.D. in Biochemistry from the University of Pennsylvania in 1971.Kauffman’s research has focused on the study of complex systems, including biological systems, economics, and social systems. He is best known for his work on the theory of self-organization and the concept of “order for free,” which suggests that complex systems can spontaneously organize themselves without the need for external control or direction.Throughout his career, Kauffman has held numerous academic positions, including professorships at the University of Chicago, the University of Pennsylvania, and the Santa Fe Institute. He has also been a visiting professor at several universities around the world, including the University of Oxford, the University of Tokyo, and the University of Vienna.In addition to his academic work, Kauffman has authored several books, including “The Origins of Order: Self-Organization and Selection in Evolution,” “At Home in the Universe: The Search for the Laws of Self-Organization and Complexity,” and “Humanity in a Creative Universe.” He has also received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to the field of complex systems research, including the MacArthur Fellowship in 1987.Today, Kauffman continues to be an active researcher and writer, exploring the complex systems that underlie the natural world and human society. His work has had a profound impact on our understanding of the fundamental principles that govern the behavior of complex systems, and his insights continue to inspire new avenues of research and discovery.









Keywords: Machines, Think, NUTS