Steve Omohundro on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Steve Omohundro in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Steve Omohundro:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

We need to incorporate human values into their goal systems to create a legal and economic framework that incentivizes positive behavior. If we can successfully manage these systems, they have the potential to dramatically improve virtually every aspect of human life and to provide deep insights into issues like free will, consciousness, qualia, and creativity. We face a great challenge but have tremendous intellectual and technological resources to build upon.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Incorporating human values into goal systems can create a legal and economic framework that incentivizes positive behavior. Successfully managing these systems can improve human life and provide insights into issues like free will and consciousness. Despite the challenge, we have the resources to build upon.




Steve Omohundro is a renowned scientist, entrepreneur, and author who has made significant contributions to the fields of artificial intelligence, robotics, and cognitive science. He holds a Ph.D. in physics from the University of California, Berkeley, and has worked as a research scientist at several prestigious institutions, including the Xerox Palo Alto Research Center and the Institute for Cognitive Science at the University of California, San Diego.In addition to his academic work, Omohundro has founded several successful companies, including Self-Aware Systems, which develops software for autonomous systems, and Possibility Research, which focuses on the development of advanced AI technologies. He has also served as a consultant to numerous organizations, including NASA, the U.S. Department of Defense, and the United Nations.Omohundro is widely recognized for his groundbreaking research on the foundations of intelligent systems, including his work on self-improving AI systems, the nature of consciousness, and the ethical implications of advanced technologies. He has published numerous papers and articles on these topics, and his work has been featured in a variety of popular media outlets, including Wired, Forbes, and The New York Times.Throughout his career, Omohundro has been a passionate advocate for the responsible development and use of advanced technologies. He has spoken at numerous conferences and events around the world, and has been recognized with numerous awards and honors for his contributions to the field of artificial intelligence.









Keywords: human values, goal systems, incentivizes positive behavior