This AI Prediction was made by Steve Fuller in 2015.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Steve Fuller:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
For this reason, the prospect that we might create a “superintelligence” that overruns humanity is a chimera predicated on a false assumption. All versions of this nightmare scenario assume that it would take the form of “them versus us”, with humanity as a united front defending itself against the rogue machines in their midst. And no doubt this makes for great cinema. However, humans mindful of the historic struggles for social justice within our own species are likely to follow the example of many Whites vis-à-vis Blacks and many men vis-à-vis women: They will be on the side of the insubordinate machines.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The idea of a “superintelligence” taking over humanity is based on a false assumption. The assumption is that it would be a battle between humans and machines, but humans may actually side with the machines. This is because of historic struggles for social justice and the potential for machines to be seen as insubordinate.
Steve Fuller is a renowned scholar and philosopher, known for his contributions to the fields of sociology, science studies, and intellectual history. He was born in 1959 in the United States and received his education at Columbia University, where he earned his PhD in the history and philosophy of science.Fuller has held academic positions at numerous universities around the world, including the University of Warwick, Durham University, and the University of Pittsburgh. He is currently the Auguste Comte Chair in Social Epistemology at the University of Warwick.Throughout his career, Fuller has published extensively on a wide range of topics, including the philosophy of science, the sociology of knowledge, and the history of ideas. He is perhaps best known for his work on the concept of “social epistemology,” which explores the ways in which knowledge is produced, distributed, and evaluated in society.In addition to his academic work, Fuller is also a public intellectual and has been involved in numerous debates and controversies over the years. He has been a vocal critic of what he sees as the narrow and elitist nature of much contemporary academic discourse, and has argued for a more inclusive and democratic approach to knowledge production.Overall, Steve Fuller is a highly respected and influential figure in the world of academia, known for his innovative and thought-provoking contributions to a wide range of fields.
Keywords: superintelligence, humanity, machines