Stephen Hawking on 2016

This AI Prediction was made by Stephen Hawking in 2016.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Stephen Hawking:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

Stephen Hawking has warned that advances in science and technology could lead to the destruction of humanity. He cited the development of artificial intelligence and genetic engineering as potential threats. Hawking called for more research to be done on how to control these technologies and prevent them from causing harm.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Although the chance of a disaster to planet Earth in a given year may be quite low, it adds up over time, and becomes a near certainty in the next thousand or ten thousand years, We are not going to stop making progress, or reverse it, so we have to recognise the dangers and control them. I’m an optimist, and I believe we can.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The probability of a disaster on Earth may be low in a given year, but it increases over time and becomes almost certain in the next thousand or ten thousand years. Progress cannot be stopped or reversed, so it is important to acknowledge and manage potential dangers. Despite this, the author remains optimistic and believes that the dangers can be controlled.




Stephen Hawking was a renowned physicist, cosmologist, and author who made significant contributions to the field of science. Born on January 8, 1942, in Oxford, England, Hawking was diagnosed with a rare form of motor neuron disease at the age of 21, which gradually paralyzed him over the years. Despite his physical limitations, he continued to pursue his passion for science and became one of the most influential scientists of the 20th century.Hawking earned his undergraduate degree in physics from University College, Oxford, and went on to pursue his graduate studies at Trinity College, Cambridge. He completed his Ph.D. in cosmology in 1966 and began his academic career as a research fellow at Gonville and Caius College, Cambridge.Throughout his career, Hawking made groundbreaking discoveries in the field of cosmology, including the theory of black holes and the origins of the universe. He authored several books, including the best-selling “A Brief History of Time,” which made complex scientific concepts accessible to a wider audience.In addition to his scientific contributions, Hawking was a vocal advocate for disability rights and a supporter of various charities. He received numerous awards and honors throughout his lifetime, including the Presidential Medal of Freedom, the highest civilian honor in the United States.Hawking passed away on March 14, 2018, at the age of 76, leaving behind a legacy of scientific achievement and inspiration for generations to come.









Keywords: disaster, planet Earth, dangers