Samuel Arbesman on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Samuel Arbesman in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Samuel Arbesman:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

We can respond similarly to our future technological creations, these thinking machines we might not fully understand. Rather than fear or worry, we should have naches from them.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

We should respond positively to our future technological creations, even if we don’t fully understand them. Instead of fearing or worrying about them, we should take pride in them.




Samuel Arbesman is a renowned scientist, writer, and speaker who has made significant contributions to the fields of complexity science, network science, and data analytics. He holds a PhD in computational biology from Cornell University and has worked as a research fellow at Harvard University and the Santa Fe Institute.Arbesman is the author of several books, including “The Half-Life of Facts: Why Everything We Know Has an Expiration Date” and “Overcomplicated: Technology at the Limits of Comprehension.” His work has been featured in numerous publications, including The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and Wired.In addition to his writing, Arbesman is a sought-after speaker who has given talks at TED, Google, and the Smithsonian Institution. He has also served as a consultant for organizations such as NASA, the World Bank, and the United Nations.Arbesman is currently a senior scholar at the Kaufman Interfaith Institute at Grand Valley State University and a fellow at the Institute for Quantitative Social Science at Harvard University. He continues to explore the intersection of science, technology, and society, and his insights have helped shape our understanding of the world around us.









Keywords: future technological creations, thinking machines, naches