Sam Altman on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Sam Altman in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

it’s difficult to have strong opinions about machine intelligence being ten or one hundred years away.



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Sam Altman:

Development progress may look relatively slow and then all of a sudden go vertical—things could get out of control very quickly (it also may be more gradual and we may barely perceive it happening


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

It is hard to have a definite stance on the timeline of machine intelligence. Progress may seem slow but could suddenly accelerate, leading to potential loss of control. The development could also be gradual and go unnoticed.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Development of superhuman machine intelligence (SMI) [1] is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The development of superhuman machine intelligence (SMI) is considered the biggest threat to humanity’s continued existence.




Sam Altman is a prominent entrepreneur, investor, and startup advisor based in the United States. Born in 1985, Altman grew up in St. Louis, Missouri, and attended Stanford University, where he studied computer science. Altman’s entrepreneurial journey began in 2005 when he co-founded Loopt, a location-based social networking app that was acquired by Green Dot Corporation in 2012. Following the acquisition, Altman served as the CEO of Loopt and later became the president of Y Combinator, a startup accelerator that has helped launch successful companies such as Airbnb, Dropbox, and Reddit.As an investor, Altman has backed numerous startups, including Airbnb, Stripe, and Reddit. He is also a board member of OpenAI, a research organization focused on developing artificial intelligence in a safe and beneficial manner.In addition to his work in the tech industry, Altman is a vocal advocate for universal basic income and has written extensively on the topic. He has also been involved in political activism, supporting causes such as criminal justice reform and climate change.Altman’s achievements have earned him numerous accolades, including being named to Forbes’ 30 Under 30 list and Time’s 100 Most Influential People in the World. He continues to be a driving force in the tech industry and a respected voice on issues affecting society as a whole.









Keywords: machine intelligence, development progress, superhuman machine intelligence (SMI)