This AI Prediction was made by Ron Chrisley in 2007.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
When, if ever, will AI get to the point that further advances in AI can be achieved by the AI systems themselves, rather than by human research?You make answering this too easy by having your last category “Beyond 2100″, which is my choice for this modified question.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Ron Chrisley:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
AI is currently advancing through human research, but it is possible that AI could eventually reach a point where it can advance itself. This could potentially happen beyond the year 2100. Answering this question is difficult due to the uncertainty of the future of AI.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Ron Chrisley is a professor of philosophy and director of the Centre for Cognitive Science at the University of Sussex. He is also a fellow of the European Artificial Intelligence Association and a member of the editorial boards of several journals in philosophy and cognitive science. His research interests include artificial life, artificial intelligence, and cognitive science. He has written extensively on the philosophical implications of these fields and has been involved in several research projects in these areas.
Keywords: AI, Human Research, Beyond 2100