This AI Prediction was made by Roger Schank in 2015.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
We are nowhere near close to creating this kind of machine.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Roger Schank:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The Edge Annual Question for 2015 asked leading thinkers to share their thoughts on the idea of “What do you think about machines that think?” The responses ranged from optimistic to pessimistic, with some experts warning about the potential dangers of artificial intelligence while others celebrated the possibilities of machine learning and automation. Overall, the question sparked a lively debate about the future of technology and its impact on society.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Everyone should stop worrying and start rooting for some nice AI stuff that we can all enjoy.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The author suggests that people should stop worrying about artificial intelligence and instead support its development. They encourage people to look forward to the positive aspects of AI that can benefit everyone. The author implies that AI can bring enjoyment to people’s lives.
Roger Schank is a renowned American computer scientist, cognitive psychologist, and educator. He was born on March 18, 1946, in Norwalk, Connecticut, and grew up in a family of educators. Schank received his Bachelor’s degree in Mathematics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) in 1966, and his Ph.D. in Linguistics from the University of Texas at Austin in 1972.Schank is best known for his work in the field of artificial intelligence and natural language processing. He has authored several books on these topics, including “Dynamic Memory: A Theory of Learning in Computers and People” and “Tell Me a Story: Narrative and Intelligence.” Schank has also founded several companies, including Cognitive Arts, which develops educational software based on his theories of learning.In addition to his work in computer science, Schank has also made significant contributions to the field of education. He has served as a professor at several universities, including Northwestern University and Yale University, and has developed innovative educational programs, such as the Institute for the Learning Sciences at Northwestern University.Schank has received numerous awards and honors for his work, including the Association for Computing Machinery’s Special Interest Group on Computer Science Education Award for Outstanding Contributions to Computer Science Education and the American Association for Artificial Intelligence’s Distinguished Service Award. He continues to be an influential figure in the fields of computer science and education, and his work has had a profound impact on the way we think about learning and intelligence.
Keywords: machine, AI, enjoy