This AI Prediction was made by Rodney Brooks in 2008.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
I also don’t know when it will happen, although I strongly suspect it won’t happen before 2030
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Rodney Brooks:
In particular, I don’t think there is going to be one single sudden technological “big bang” that springs an AGI into “life.” Starting with the mildly intelligent systems we have today, machines will become gradually more intelligent, generation by generation. The singularity will be a period, not an event.
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The singularity is expected to occur sometime after 2030, and will not be a single event. Rather, it will be a gradual process of machines becoming increasingly intelligent. It will be a period, not an event.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
We will incorporate a wide range of advanced sensory devices and prosthetics to enhance our bodies. As our machines become more like us, we will become more like them.And I’m an optimist. I believe we will all get along.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Advanced sensory devices and prosthetics are being used to enhance our bodies. We are becoming more like machines, and machines are becoming more like us. Despite this, there is optimism that we will all be able to coexist peacefully.
Rodney Brooks is an Australian roboticist and entrepreneur. He is best known for his work in the field of robotics, where he has made significant contributions to the development of mobile robots and robot intelligence. Brooks received his PhD in computer science from Stanford University in 1981, and went on to teach at MIT, where he co-founded the Artificial Intelligence Laboratory. He later co-founded iRobot, a company that designs and builds robots for consumer, military, and industrial applications.
Keywords: AGI, Singularity, Optimist