Robert Provine on 2014

This AI Prediction was made by Robert Provine in 2014.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Robert Provine:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Our brain is an inelegant kludge of neurological subroutines, a programmer’s nightmare, but it benefits from being a catch-as-catch-can product of natural selection that is fine-tuned to our physical, biological, and social environment. Although we may be bested on specific tasks, overall, we will fare well in competition against machines, malevolent, or otherwise. When provoked, we humans are nasty adversaries.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The human brain is a complex product of natural selection that is well-suited to our environment. Despite being outperformed by machines in some areas, humans are generally competitive and capable adversaries. When provoked, humans can be particularly aggressive.




Robert Provine is a renowned American neuroscientist and psychologist who has made significant contributions to the field of behavioral neuroscience. He was born on August 14, 1948, in Washington, D.C., and grew up in the nearby state of Maryland.Provine received his Bachelor of Arts degree in psychology from the University of Virginia in 1970 and his Ph.D. in psychology from the University of California, San Diego in 1976. He then went on to complete a postdoctoral fellowship at the University of California, Berkeley.Throughout his career, Provine has conducted groundbreaking research on the neural and behavioral mechanisms of social communication, including laughter, speech, and vocalizations. He has published numerous articles and books on these topics, including his influential book “Laughter: A Scientific Investigation,” which explores the evolutionary and social functions of laughter.Provine has also been recognized for his teaching and mentorship, receiving the Outstanding Teaching Award from the University of Maryland in 1985 and the Distinguished Scholar-Teacher Award in 1995. He has served as a professor of psychology at the University of Maryland since 1976 and has been a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science since 1991.In addition to his academic work, Provine has been a frequent commentator on the science of laughter and social communication in the media, including appearances on NPR, CNN, and the Discovery Channel. He has also been a consultant for various companies and organizations, including Pixar Animation Studios and the National Institutes of Health.Overall, Robert Provine’s contributions to the field of behavioral neuroscience have been instrumental in advancing our understanding of the neural and social mechanisms of communication. His work has had a profound impact on the scientific community and has helped to shape our understanding of human behavior and cognition.