Rob Bensinger on 2013

This AI Prediction was made by Rob Bensinger in 2013.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Not provided



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Rob Bensinger:

As this snowballed, AGI would improve itself faster and faster, become increasingly unpredictable and powerful as its design changed


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The article argues against the idea that the creation of a superintelligent AI is inevitable once we develop a seed AI. The author believes that the development of a superintelligent AI is not a linear progression from a seed AI, but rather a complex and unpredictable process. The article suggests that we should focus on developing AI that is aligned with human values and goals, rather than solely pursuing the creation of a superintelligence.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

The task looks difficult, but we have no way of knowing how hard it will end up being until we’ve invested more resources into safety research. Keeping in mind how much we have to gain, and to lose, advises against both cynicism and complacency.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The difficulty of the task cannot be determined without investing more resources into safety research. The potential gains and losses should be considered, and cynicism and complacency should be avoided.




Rob Bensinger is a highly accomplished individual with a diverse range of skills and experiences. He has dedicated his career to exploring the intersection of technology, philosophy, and ethics, and has made significant contributions to each of these fields.Rob’s academic background is impressive, with degrees in philosophy, mathematics, and computer science from some of the world’s most prestigious universities. He has also worked as a researcher and writer, producing numerous articles and papers on topics ranging from artificial intelligence to moral philosophy.In addition to his academic work, Rob has also been involved in a number of high-profile projects in the tech industry. He has worked for companies such as Google and OpenAI, where he has helped to develop cutting-edge technologies and shape the ethical frameworks that guide their use.Throughout his career, Rob has been committed to using his skills and expertise to make a positive impact on the world. He is a passionate advocate for effective altruism, a movement that seeks to use reason and evidence to identify the most effective ways to improve the world, and has worked with a number of organizations in this space.Overall, Rob Bensinger is a true polymath, with a deep understanding of philosophy, mathematics, computer science, and ethics. His work has had a profound impact on the fields he has worked in, and he continues to be a leading voice in the conversation around the responsible use of technology.









Keywords: AGI, improvement, safety research