Ray Kurzweil on 2002

This AI Prediction was made by Ray Kurzweil in 2002.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

We have hundreds of examples of “narrow AI” today, and I believe we’ll have “strong AI” (capable of passing the Turing test) and thereby soaring past human intelligence for the reasons I stated above by 2029. But that’s not the Singularity. This is “merely” the means by which technology will continue to grow exponentially in its power.



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Ray Kurzweil:

If we can combine strong AI, nanotechnology and other exponential trends, technology will appear to tear the fabric of human understanding by around the mid 2040s by my estimation.


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

1. Technology is advancing rapidly, with strong AI, nanotechnology, and other exponential trends.2. This technology is expected to have a profound impact on human understanding by the mid 2040s.3. By estimation, this could tear the fabric of human understanding.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

However, I still maintain that we will evolve into the machines. We will start by merging with them (by, for example, placing billions of nanobots in the capillaries of our brain), and then evolving into them.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Humans will eventually merge with machines by placing nanobots in the capillaries of our brain. This will lead to a process of evolution, where humans will eventually become machines. This process of merging and evolving will be gradual.




Ray Kurzweil is an inventor, futurist, and author. He is best known for his predictions about artificial intelligence and the development of technology. He is the author of several books, including The Age of Spiritual Machines and The Singularity Is Near. He is also the founder and principal inventor of several companies, including Kurzweil Technologies and KurzweilAI.net.






Source: http://www.kurzweilai.net/singularity-chat-with-vernor-vinge-and-ray-kurzweil



Keywords: Strong AI, Nanotechnology, Evolve