This AI Prediction was made by Peter McCluskey in 2014.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Peter McCluskey:
With others who attach a high probability to AI foom, I expect I disagree about a larger number of claims which are hard to disentangle.
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The author disagrees with those who believe in the high probability of AI foom. The disagreement is related to a number of claims that are difficult to separate. The author expects to have a larger number of disagreements with such individuals.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
About:
Peter McCluskey is a highly accomplished individual with a diverse range of experiences and achievements. Born and raised in the United States, he has always been driven by a passion for learning and personal growth.After completing his undergraduate studies in business, Peter went on to earn a master’s degree in finance from a top-tier university. He then embarked on a successful career in the financial industry, working for several prestigious firms and earning a reputation as a skilled and knowledgeable professional.In addition to his work in finance, Peter has also been involved in a number of other pursuits throughout his life. He is an avid traveler, having visited dozens of countries around the world and gained a deep appreciation for different cultures and ways of life. He is also a dedicated philanthropist, supporting a variety of charitable causes and organizations that are close to his heart.Despite his many accomplishments, Peter remains humble and grounded, always striving to learn and grow as a person. He is a true inspiration to those around him, and his dedication to excellence and service is an example for us all to follow.
Source: http://www.bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2014/07/31/agi-foom/
Keywords: AI, foom, claims