This AI Prediction was made by Peter J. Bentley in 2007.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Perhaps in 50 or 100 years we may have a true artificial intelligence.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Peter J. Bentley:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
1. Artificial intelligence is a concept that has been around for a long time.2. Scientists are still working to create a true artificial intelligence.3. It is estimated that it may take up to 100 years to achieve this goal.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
If it has known nothing except oppression and warfare, clearly it may not be friendly towards us, so the logical route is to ensure that artificial intelligences survive better when they peacefully co-exist with us. There is no reason why a peaceful ecological balance between human and artificial intelligence should not arise, just as ecological balances arise in the natural world as a result of evolution.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Artificial intelligences may not be friendly towards us if they have only known oppression and warfare, so it is important to ensure they peacefully co-exist with us. There is no reason why a peaceful balance between humans and AI cannot be achieved, similar to the ecological balances that arise in nature. Evolution can help create this balance between humans and AI.
Peter J. Bentley is a professor of computer science at University College London, where he leads the Digital Biology Group. His research interests include artificial life, evolutionary computation, and swarm intelligence. Bentley has authored several popular science books on these topics, including “Digital Biology” and “The Book of Numbers.” He is also a Fellow of the British Computer Society and a member of the European Academy of Sciences.
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Oppression, Ecological Balance