Paul Saffo on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Paul Saffo in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

In the end, the biggest question is not whether AI super-intelligences will eventually appear. Rather the question is what will be the place of humans in a world occupied by an exponentially growing population of autonomous machines. Bots on the Web already outnumber human users—the same will soon be true in the physical world as well.



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Paul Saffo:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

The prospect of a world inhabited by robust AIs terrifies me. The prospect of a world without robust AIs also terrifies me.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The author is terrified of a world with robust AIs. However, they are also terrified of a world without them. The reasons for their fear are not specified.




Paul Saffo is a renowned futurist, strategist, and forecaster who has been studying and predicting technological and societal trends for over three decades. He is widely recognized for his ability to identify emerging technologies and their potential impact on society, business, and government.Saffo has worked with a wide range of organizations, including Fortune 500 companies, government agencies, and non-profit organizations. He has served as a consulting professor at Stanford University, where he taught courses on forecasting and strategic planning. He has also been a visiting scholar at the University of California, Berkeley, and a fellow at the Institute for the Future.Saffo is a frequent speaker at conferences and events around the world, where he shares his insights on the future of technology and society. He has written numerous articles and essays on topics ranging from the future of the internet to the impact of artificial intelligence on the workforce.In addition to his work as a futurist, Saffo is also an entrepreneur and investor. He has founded several technology companies and serves on the boards of several others. He is also a member of the World Economic Forum’s Global Agenda Council on the Future of Information and Entertainment.Saffo holds a bachelor’s degree in history from Harvard University and a master’s degree in engineering from Stanford University. He is a fellow of the Royal Society of Arts and a member of the Global Business Network.









Keywords: AI, humans, autonomous machines