Pamela McCorduck on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Pamela McCorduck in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Pamela McCorduck:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Here’s my belief: We long to save and preserve ourselves as a species. For all the imaginary deities throughout history we’ve petitioned, which failed to save and protect us—from nature, from each other, from ourselves—we’re finally ready to call on our own enhanced, augmented minds instead. It’s a sign of social maturity that we take responsibility for ourselves. We are as gods, Stewart Brand famously said, and we may as well get good at it.We’re trying. We could fail.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The author believes that humans are now ready to rely on their own enhanced minds to save and protect themselves as a species. This is a sign of social maturity and taking responsibility for ourselves. However, there is still a possibility of failure in our attempts to become like gods.




Pamela McCorduck is an accomplished author, lecturer, and consultant in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). She has written extensively on the subject, including the influential book “Machines Who Think: A Personal Inquiry into the History and Prospects of Artificial Intelligence,” which has been translated into numerous languages and is considered a classic in the field.McCorduck’s interest in AI began in the 1970s, when she was a science writer for the New York Times and began covering the emerging field. She went on to write several books on the subject, including “The Fifth Generation: Artificial Intelligence and Japan’s Computer Challenge to the World” and “Aaron’s Code: Meta-Art, Artificial Intelligence, and the Work of Harold Cohen.”In addition to her writing, McCorduck has been a frequent speaker and consultant on AI, working with companies and organizations around the world. She has also been involved in the development of several AI-related projects, including the creation of an AI-based art program with artist Harold Cohen.McCorduck’s contributions to the field of AI have been widely recognized. She has received numerous awards and honors, including the ACM-AAAI Allen Newell Award for contributions to the philosophy of computing and the IEEE Computer Society’s Computer Pioneer Award. She is also a fellow of the Association for Computing Machinery and the American Association for the Advancement of Science.Today, McCorduck continues to write and speak on AI and related topics. She is a sought-after commentator on the impact of technology on society and the future of work, and her insights are highly valued by both industry leaders and academics.









Keywords: species, augmented minds, social maturity