Pamela McCorduck on 2014

This AI Prediction was made by Pamela McCorduck in 2014.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Pamela McCorduck:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The article argues that the current state of artificial intelligence (AI) is not as advanced as many people believe. The author contends that AI is still limited in its ability to understand and interpret complex human emotions and experiences. The article suggests that the hype surrounding AI may be more of a myth than a reality.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

I’m glad to say that for the past five years the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence has formally addressed these ethical issues in detail, with a series of panels, and plans are underway to expand the effort. As Bostrom says, this is the essential task of our century.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence has been addressing ethical issues for the past five years through a series of panels. Plans are underway to expand this effort. This is considered the essential task of the century, according to Bostrom.




Pamela McCorduck is an accomplished author, lecturer, and consultant in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). She has written extensively on the subject, including the influential book “Machines Who Think: A Personal Inquiry into the History and Prospects of Artificial Intelligence,” which has been translated into numerous languages and is considered a classic in the field.McCorduck’s interest in AI began in the 1970s, when she was a science writer for the New York Times and began covering the emerging field. She went on to write several books on the subject, including “The Fifth Generation: Artificial Intelligence and Japan’s Computer Challenge to the World” and “Aaron’s Code: Meta-Art, Artificial Intelligence, and the Work of Harold Cohen.”In addition to her writing, McCorduck has been a frequent speaker and consultant on AI, working with companies and organizations around the world. She has also been involved in the development of several AI-related projects, including the creation of an AI-based art program with artist Harold Cohen.McCorduck’s contributions to the field of AI have been widely recognized. She has received numerous awards and honors, including the ACM-AAAI Allen Newell Award for contributions to the philosophy of computing and the IEEE Computer Society’s Computer Pioneer Award. She is also a fellow of the Association for Computing Machinery and the American Association for the Advancement of Science.Today, McCorduck continues to write and speak on AI and related topics. She is a sought-after commentator on the impact of technology on society and the future of work, and her insights are highly valued by both industry leaders and academics.









Keywords: Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence, ethical issues, Bostrom