Oren Etzioni on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Oren Etzioni in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

A lot of the disagreements come down to what time scale you are thinking about. Nobody responsible would say you will see anything remotely like A.I. in the next five to ten years. And I think most computer scientists would say, ‘In a million years—we don’t see why it shouldn’t happen.’



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Oren Etzioni:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

There are disagreements about the timeline for the development of AI. Responsible individuals do not expect to see anything like AI in the next five to ten years. However, most computer scientists believe that AI could happen in a million years.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:




Oren Etzioni is a renowned computer scientist and entrepreneur who has made significant contributions to the field of artificial intelligence (AI). He is currently the CEO of the Allen Institute for AI, a non-profit research organization that focuses on advancing AI for the benefit of humanity.Etzioni received his Ph.D. in computer science from Carnegie Mellon University and went on to become a professor at the University of Washington, where he founded the university’s Turing Center and served as its director for over a decade. During his time at the University of Washington, Etzioni conducted groundbreaking research in natural language processing, machine learning, and knowledge representation.In addition to his academic work, Etzioni has also been a successful entrepreneur. He co-founded several companies, including Farecast (which was acquired by Microsoft) and Decide (which was acquired by eBay). He also served as the chief scientist at Go2Net, a publicly traded internet company.Etzioni has received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to the field of AI, including the AAAI Feigenbaum Prize and the Robert S. Engelmore Memorial Lecture Award. He is a fellow of the Association for Computing Machinery (ACM) and the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI).Etzioni is a sought-after speaker and has given talks at conferences and events around the world. He is also a prolific writer, having authored over 100 technical papers and several books on AI and computer science.Overall, Etzioni’s work has had a significant impact on the development of AI and has helped to shape the way we think about the potential of this transformative technology.






Source: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/11/23/doomsday-invention-artificial-intelligence-nick-bostrom



Keywords: A.I., computer scientists, time scale