Noriko Arai on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Noriko Arai in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Noriko Arai:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The article discusses the importance of innovation in the Japanese economy and the need for collaboration between industry, academia, and government to achieve it. It highlights the challenges faced by Japan in terms of an aging population and declining birth rate, and how innovation can help address these issues. The article also emphasizes the need for Japan to embrace digital transformation and invest in new technologies to remain competitive in the global market.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

What will AI be capable of, and what will it be unable to do? The issue is to maintain a focus on the real nature of these issues while seeking a design as a nation that will ensure diversity and minimize risk


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The article discusses the capabilities and limitations of AI. It emphasizes the need to maintain focus on the real nature of these issues while designing a national strategy that ensures diversity and minimizes risk. The article highlights the importance of understanding the potential of AI while also acknowledging its limitations.




Noriko Arai is a renowned Japanese computer scientist and researcher, known for her contributions to the field of artificial intelligence and natural language processing. She was born in Tokyo, Japan, and received her Bachelor’s degree in Mathematics from the University of Tokyo in 1981. She went on to earn her Master’s degree in Computer Science from the same university in 1983.Arai’s research focuses on developing intelligent systems that can understand and process human language. She is particularly interested in the development of large-scale knowledge bases and the use of machine learning techniques to improve natural language processing. Her work has led to the creation of several innovative systems, including the Japanese version of IBM’s Watson, which is capable of answering questions in Japanese.In addition to her research, Arai is also a dedicated educator. She has taught at several universities in Japan, including the University of Tokyo and the National Institute of Informatics. She is also the founder of the Japanese National Institute of Informatics’ Knowledge Infrastructure Project, which aims to create a comprehensive knowledge base for the Japanese language.Arai’s contributions to the field of artificial intelligence have been widely recognized. She has received numerous awards and honors, including the Medal of Honor with Purple Ribbon from the Japanese government in 2013. She is also a fellow of the Association for Computing Machinery and the Institute of Electronics, Information and Communication Engineers.Overall, Noriko Arai is a highly respected figure in the field of artificial intelligence and natural language processing. Her innovative research and dedication to education have helped to advance the field and inspire future generations of researchers.