This AI Prediction was made by Noah Goodman in 2007.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Shooting from the hip, I’d say 2050-2070.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Noah Goodman:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
1. It is estimated that by 2050-2070, something will happen. 2. This estimation is based on a guess. 3. No specific details are given about what will happen.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Noah Goodman is a prominent researcher and educator in the field of artificial intelligence and cognitive science. He is currently a professor of psychology and computer science at Stanford University and also co-directs the Stanford Computational Cognitive and Systems Neuroscience Laboratory. Goodman’s research focuses on building computational models that capture human reasoning and decision-making processes, with applications in areas such as natural language processing and cognitive neuroscience. He has received several awards for his work, including a MacArthur Fellowship in 2016.