This AI Prediction was made by Nicholas G. Carr in 2015.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Nicholas G. Carr:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
What we’re now struggling to bring under control is the very thing that helped us reassert control at the start of the twentieth century: information technology. Our ability to gather and process data, to manipulate information in all its forms, has outstripped our ability to monitor and regulate data processing in a way that suits our societal and personal interests. Resolving this new control crisis will be one of the great challenges in the years ahead. The first step in meeting the challenge is to recognize that the risks of artificial intelligence don’t lie in some dystopian future. They are here now.
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The advancement of information technology has outpaced our ability to regulate it, leading to a crisis of control. This crisis will be a major challenge in the future, and the risks of artificial intelligence are already present. Recognizing this is the first step in addressing the issue.
Nicholas G. Carr is an American author and speaker who has gained recognition for his work on the impact of technology on society. Born in 1959 in Pennsylvania, Carr received his Bachelor’s degree in English from Dartmouth College and later earned a Master’s degree in American literature from Harvard University.Carr began his career as a journalist, working for publications such as The Atlantic Monthly, The New York Times, and The Wall Street Journal. In 2003, he published his first book, “Does IT Matter? Information Technology and the Corrosion of Competitive Advantage,” which challenged the notion that investing in information technology was always beneficial for businesses.Carr’s most well-known work, “The Shallows: What the Internet Is Doing to Our Brains,” was published in 2010 and became a bestseller. In this book, Carr argues that the internet is changing the way we think and process information, leading to a decrease in our ability to concentrate and think deeply.In addition to his writing, Carr is a sought-after speaker and has given talks at conferences and events around the world. He has also been a visiting scholar at the University of California, Berkeley and a writer-in-residence at the University of California, Santa Barbara.Carr’s work has been widely recognized and he has received numerous awards, including the Pulitzer Prize for Criticism in 2011. He continues to write and speak about the impact of technology on society, and his insights have influenced the way many people think about the role of technology in our lives.
Keywords: information technology, data processing, artificial intelligence