This AI Prediction was made by Neil Jacobstein in 2007.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
[— So, I take it you think there is a non-negligible probability that we will have advanced AI in our lifetimes? — Correct]
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Neil Jacobstein:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The speaker is asking if the other person believes there is a chance of advanced AI in their lifetime. The other person agrees that there is a non-negligible probability of this happening. Both parties seem to agree that advanced AI is likely to be a reality in their lifetime.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Neil Jacobstein is a prominent AI researcher and entrepreneur who has worked in the field for over 30 years. He currently serves as the Chair of AI and Robotics at the Singularity University, a Silicon Valley-based institution focused on the convergence of emerging technologies. Jacobstein’s research interests include machine learning, natural language processing, and robotics, and he has contributed to several important AI initiatives, such as the National Robotics Initiative and the Global Future Council on Robotics and Smart Devices.
Keywords: AI, Probability, Lifetimes