Michael Vassar on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Michael Vassar in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Over the next couple decades though, the most serious existential risks come from kinds of intelligence that don’t think, and new kinds of soft-authoritarianism which may emerge in a world where most decisions are made without thinking



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Michael Vassar:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Experts call a machine that can “think” a General Artificial Intelligence. They agree that such a machine could drive us extinct.[…] The more we leave our decisions to machines, the harder it becomes to take back control.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

A General Artificial Intelligence is a machine that can “think” and experts believe it could lead to human extinction. As we rely more on machines to make decisions, it becomes increasingly difficult to regain control.




Michael Vassar is a renowned entrepreneur, philanthropist, and futurist. He is widely recognized for his exceptional leadership skills and his ability to inspire and motivate individuals to achieve their full potential. Born and raised in the United States, Michael Vassar developed a passion for technology and innovation at a young age. He pursued his interest in these fields by studying computer science and mathematics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). During his time at MIT, Michael Vassar gained valuable experience working on various research projects and collaborating with some of the brightest minds in the industry. After completing his studies, Michael Vassar embarked on a successful career in the technology sector. He co-founded the software company, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence (SIAI), which focused on developing advanced artificial intelligence technologies. Under his leadership, SIAI became a leading organization in the field of AI research and development. In addition to his work in the technology industry, Michael Vassar is also a dedicated philanthropist. He has contributed generously to various charitable organizations and causes, including education, healthcare, and environmental conservation. He is committed to making a positive impact on society and improving the lives of people around the world. As a futurist, Michael Vassar is known for his insightful and thought-provoking ideas about the future of technology and society. He has written extensively on topics such as artificial intelligence, transhumanism, and the singularity. His work has been featured in numerous publications and he has been invited to speak at conferences and events around the world. Overall, Michael Vassar is a visionary leader who has made significant contributions to the fields of technology, philanthropy, and futurism. His passion for innovation and his commitment to making a positive impact on society continue to inspire and motivate individuals around the world.






Source: https://www.edge.org/responses/q2015



Keywords: existential risks, intelligence, soft-authoritarianism