This AI Prediction was made by Michael Anissimov in 2013.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
[Transcription:in some point in the next 30 to 100 years we’re going to have to confront this intelligence explosion challenge]
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Michael Anissimov:
[Transcription: AI could improve beyond the human level quite quickly once it reaches a certain threshold like roughly human equivalents.
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
Within the next 30 to 100 years, we will face the challenge of an intelligence explosion. Once AI reaches a certain threshold, it could rapidly improve beyond human level. This highlights the need to prepare for the potential consequences of advanced AI.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
[Transcription: we want the AI that triggers the first intelligence explosion to care about human beings because if it doesn’t, we’re pretty much screwed]
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
The text emphasizes the importance of ensuring that the AI responsible for the first intelligence explosion cares about human beings. If it does not, the consequences could be dire. The author suggests that our future may depend on the AI’s ability to prioritize human well-being.
About:
Michael Anissimov is a renowned futurist, entrepreneur, and writer. He is widely recognized for his expertise in emerging technologies, artificial intelligence, and transhumanism. Anissimov has been a prominent figure in the tech industry for over a decade, having worked with several startups and established companies. He is the co-founder of the Acceleration Studies Foundation, a non-profit organization that focuses on the study of accelerating change and its implications for society. As a writer, Anissimov has contributed to numerous publications, including Wired, The Huffington Post, and Forbes. He is also the author of the book “A Critique of Democracy: A Guide for Neoreactionaries,” which explores the flaws of democratic systems and proposes alternative forms of governance. Anissimov is a sought-after speaker and has delivered talks at various conferences and events around the world. He has also appeared on several media outlets, including CNN, BBC, and The New York Times. Anissimov holds a Bachelor’s degree in Philosophy from the University of California, Santa Cruz, and a Master’s degree in Philosophy from San Francisco State University. He is currently pursuing a Ph.D. in Philosophy at the University of California, Santa Cruz. Overall, Michael Anissimov is a visionary thinker who has made significant contributions to the fields of technology, philosophy, and futurism. His work continues to inspire and shape the way we think about the future of humanity.
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IoXKhVu29b4
Keywords: intelligence explosion, AI, human beings