Matt Mahoney on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Matt Mahoney in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Not provided



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Matt Mahoney:

I am in the lower right corner too. […]There is no shortcut, like recursive self-improvement or a universal learning algorithm. We know this mathematically.


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The author is located in the lower right corner. There are no shortcuts to self-improvement or universal learning algorithms. This is a mathematical fact.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

I predict a good outcome.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:




Matt Mahoney is a highly accomplished individual with a diverse range of experiences and achievements. Born and raised in the United States, Matt has always been driven to succeed and make a positive impact on the world around him.Throughout his life, Matt has pursued a variety of interests and passions, including music, sports, and technology. He has played in several bands and performed at numerous venues, showcasing his talent as a skilled musician. Additionally, Matt has always been an avid sports enthusiast, participating in various athletic activities and competitions.In terms of his professional career, Matt has established himself as a leader in the technology industry. He has worked for several prominent companies, including Google and Microsoft, where he has contributed to the development of cutting-edge software and technology solutions. Matt’s expertise in the field has earned him numerous accolades and awards, and he is widely recognized as a thought leader and innovator.Beyond his professional accomplishments, Matt is also deeply committed to giving back to his community. He has volunteered with several non-profit organizations, including Habitat for Humanity and the American Red Cross, and has dedicated his time and resources to supporting various charitable causes.Overall, Matt Mahoney is a dynamic and accomplished individual who has made a significant impact in a variety of areas. His passion for music, sports, and technology, combined with his commitment to making a positive difference in the world, make him a truly inspiring figure.









Keywords: self-improvement, learning algorithm, outcome