Marvin Minsky on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Marvin Minsky in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Marvin Minsky:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

Marvin Minsky, a mathematician and inventor, has died at the age of 88. He was inspired by Alan Turing to become a pioneer in artificial intelligence and co-founded the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Media Lab. Minsky’s work in AI and cognitive science has had a significant impact on the field and he will be remembered as a visionary thinker.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

He was asked if he believed that machines will become more intelligent than human beings and if that would be a good thing. “Well, they’ll certainly become faster,” he said. “And there’s so many stories of how things could go bad, but I don’t see any way of taking them seriously because it’s pretty hard to see why anybody would instal them on a large scale without a lot of testing.”


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The speaker was asked about the possibility of machines becoming more intelligent than humans. He acknowledged that they will become faster but did not see any reason for them to be installed on a large scale without extensive testing. He also mentioned concerns about the potential negative consequences of such technology.




Marvin Minsky was an American cognitive scientist and computer scientist who made significant contributions to the field of artificial intelligence (AI). Born on August 9, 1927, in New York City, Minsky attended the Bronx High School of Science before earning a degree in mathematics from Harvard University in 1950. He went on to earn a Ph.D. in mathematics from Princeton University in 1954.Minsky’s work in AI began in the 1950s when he co-founded the MIT Artificial Intelligence Project (later renamed the MIT AI Laboratory) with John McCarthy, Nathaniel Rochester, and Claude Shannon. He was a pioneer in the field of AI, developing theories and models of how the human mind works and how machines could be designed to mimic human intelligence.Throughout his career, Minsky made significant contributions to the development of AI, including the creation of the first neural network simulator, the first computer vision system, and the first robotic hands. He also co-authored the book “Perceptrons,” which laid the foundation for the field of neural networks.In addition to his work in AI, Minsky was also a professor of electrical engineering and computer science at MIT. He was a member of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He received numerous awards and honors throughout his career, including the Turing Award in 1969, the Kyoto Prize in 1988, and the Benjamin Franklin Medal in Computer and Cognitive Science in 2001.Minsky passed away on January 24, 2016, at the age of 88. His contributions to the field of AI continue to influence and inspire researchers and scientists around the world.









Keywords: machines, intelligence, human beings