Martin Rees on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Martin Rees in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Few doubt that machines will surpass more and more of our distinctively human capabilities—or enhance them via cyborg technology. The cautious amongst us envisage timescales of centuries rather than decades for these transformations.



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Martin Rees:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

Machines are expected to surpass human capabilities and even enhance them through cyborg technology. However, some believe that these transformations will take centuries rather than decades.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

‘Organic Intelligence Has No Long-Term Future’So it won’t be the minds of humans, but those of machines, that will most fully understand the world—and it will be the actions of autonomous machines that will most drastically change the world, and perhaps what lies beyond.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Machines will understand the world better than humans. Autonomous machines will bring drastic changes to the world and beyond. Organic intelligence has no long-term future.




Martin Rees is a renowned British cosmologist and astrophysicist who has made significant contributions to our understanding of the universe. Born on June 23, 1942, in York, England, Rees attended Trinity College, Cambridge, where he earned his Bachelor’s and Master’s degrees in mathematics. He then went on to complete his Ph.D. in astrophysics at the University of Cambridge.Rees has held numerous academic positions throughout his career, including professorships at the University of Sussex, the University of Cambridge, and the University of Oxford. He has also served as the President of the Royal Society, the United Kingdom’s national academy of science, and as the Master of Trinity College, Cambridge.Rees is best known for his work on the Big Bang theory, the study of black holes, and the search for extraterrestrial life. He has authored several books on these topics, including “Just Six Numbers: The Deep Forces That Shape the Universe” and “Our Cosmic Habitat.” Rees has also received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to science, including the Crafoord Prize, the Royal Society’s Copley Medal, and the Templeton Prize.In addition to his scientific work, Rees is also a prominent advocate for science education and public engagement. He has given numerous lectures and talks on science and technology, and has written extensively on the importance of science in society. Rees is a Fellow of the Royal Society, a member of the Order of Merit, and a foreign associate of the National Academy of Sciences.









Keywords: machines, human capabilities, cyborg technology