Marek Rosa on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Marek Rosa in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Our long-term goal is human-level intelligence (10 years)



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Marek Rosa:

The progress won’t be linear; it will be exponential, leading to a recursively self-improving AI. […] Then in a very short period of time you will have a computer whose cognitive capabilities may be a million times larger than ours.


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The aim is to achieve human-level intelligence in the next decade. The progress will not be linear but exponential, leading to a self-improving AI. This could result in a computer with cognitive capabilities a million times larger than humans in a short period of time.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Yeah there are some risks as with every other technology. People are dangerous to other people too.And it’s good to point on these risks, but it should not stop as from developing the AI.In our case (KSH), the AI will have little power on its day 1. As it will “get older” and gain more knowledge by interacting with us, we will know if it goes in a good or bad direction.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The risks associated with AI should not prevent its development. People are also capable of being dangerous to others. The AI developed by KSH will have limited power initially and its direction will be determined by its interactions with humans.




Marek Rosa is a Czech entrepreneur and game developer, best known as the founder and CEO of Keen Software House. Born in 1982 in Prague, Rosa showed an early interest in technology and programming, teaching himself to code at a young age. After completing his studies in computer science at Charles University in Prague, Rosa began working as a software developer for various companies. In 2010, he founded Keen Software House, a game development studio focused on creating innovative and immersive gaming experiences. Under Rosa’s leadership, Keen Software House has become a leading player in the gaming industry, with a portfolio of successful titles including Space Engineers and Medieval Engineers. Rosa’s vision for the company is to create games that push the boundaries of what is possible, using cutting-edge technology and innovative gameplay mechanics. In addition to his work at Keen Software House, Rosa is also a passionate advocate for the development of artificial intelligence and robotics. He has founded several companies in this field, including GoodAI, which is focused on developing advanced AI systems that can solve complex problems and improve human life. Rosa’s achievements have been widely recognized, and he has received numerous awards and accolades for his contributions to the gaming and technology industries. He is a sought-after speaker and has given talks at conferences and events around the world. Despite his success, Rosa remains committed to pushing the boundaries of what is possible and creating new and innovative technologies that can improve the world we live in.