This AI Prediction was made by Marcus Hutter in 2012.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
This century may witness a technological explosion of a degree deserving the name singularity
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Marcus Hutter:
The default scenario is a society of interacting intelligent agents in a virtual world, simulated on computers with hyperbolically increasing computational resources.
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The singularity, a technological explosion, may occur in this century. The result could be a society of intelligent agents interacting in a virtual world, powered by increasingly powerful computers. This scenario is the default prediction.
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Way before the singularity, even when setting up a virtual society in our image, there are likely some immediate differences, for instance that the value of an individual life suddenly drops, with drastic consequences
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Creating a virtual society in our image may lead to immediate differences. The value of an individual life may decrease, resulting in severe consequences. These changes may occur even before the singularity.
About:
Marcus Hutter is a renowned computer scientist and artificial intelligence researcher. He was born in Germany in 1967 and received his PhD in computer science from the University of Munich in 2000. Hutter is best known for his work on the theory of universal artificial intelligence, which seeks to create a single algorithm that can solve any problem that can be solved by a computer.
He has also made significant contributions to the fields of machine learning, algorithmic information theory, and computational complexity theory. In addition to his academic work, Hutter has also been involved in the development of practical applications of artificial intelligence.
He co-founded the company Cortical.io, which uses natural language processing to analyze large amounts of text data.
Hutter has received numerous awards and honors for his contributions to computer science, including the prestigious ACM SIGART Autonomous Agents Research Award in 2014. He is currently a professor at the Australian National University and continues to push the boundaries of artificial intelligence research.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1AxVXt2Gv4
Source: http://www.hutter1.net/publ/singularity.pdf
Keywords: technological explosion, singularity, virtual society
