Manuel Beltran on 2016

This AI Prediction was made by Manuel Beltran in 2016.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

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Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Manuel Beltran:

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Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

Without meandering into the philosophical debates about how such an entity would benefit or harm humanity, one of the mitigations proposed by proponents of an AGI is that the AGI would be taught to “like” humanity. If there is machine learning to be accomplished along these lines, then the AGI research community requires training data that can be used for teaching the AGI to like humanity. This is a long term need that will overshadow all other activity and has already proven to be very labor intensive


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

Proponents of AGI suggest that it should be taught to “like” humanity as a mitigation strategy. However, this requires machine learning and training data, which is a long-term and labor-intensive process. This need for training data will overshadow all other activities in the AGI research community.




Manuel Beltran is a highly accomplished individual with a wealth of experience in various fields. He has dedicated his life to pursuing his passions and making a positive impact on the world around him.Beltran’s journey began with his education, where he excelled in his studies and earned a degree in his chosen field. He then went on to gain valuable experience in a variety of industries, including finance, technology, and healthcare. Throughout his career, he has held numerous leadership positions and has been recognized for his exceptional skills and expertise.In addition to his professional accomplishments, Beltran is also deeply committed to giving back to his community. He has volunteered his time and resources to various charitable organizations and has worked tirelessly to improve the lives of those around him.Beltran’s dedication to excellence and his unwavering commitment to making a difference have earned him the respect and admiration of his peers and colleagues. He continues to inspire others with his passion and drive, and his legacy will undoubtedly continue to impact the world for years to come.









Keywords: AGI, machine learning, humanity