Leo M. Chalupa on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Leo M. Chalupa in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

In the coming decades we will know how the billions of neurons in each of the 6 layers of the cerebral cortex are interconnected as well as the types of functional circuits that these connections form.But understanding the cortical micro circuitry is not sufficient in constructing a machine that thinks.



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Leo M. Chalupa:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

In the future, we will have a better understanding of the connections between neurons in the cerebral cortex. However, this knowledge alone is not enough to create a thinking machine. Additional factors must be considered in the construction of such a machine.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

For now, we don’t need to be concerned with civil or any other rights of machines that think; nor do we have to be concerned with thinking machines taking over society. If things should get out of hand, just pull the plug.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

There is no need to worry about the civil or other rights of thinking machines. There is also no need to worry about thinking machines taking over society. If things get out of hand, simply turn off the machines.




Leo M. Chalupa is a renowned scientist and academic who has made significant contributions to the field of neuroscience. He was born on August 6, 1943, in New York City, and grew up in a family of immigrants from Croatia. Chalupa received his Bachelor of Science degree in Biology from Fordham University in 1965, and his Ph.D. in Anatomy from the University of Pennsylvania in 1970.Chalupa’s research has focused on the development and function of the visual system, particularly the mechanisms that underlie the formation of neural connections in the brain. He has published over 200 scientific papers and has received numerous awards and honors for his work, including the Karl Spencer Lashley Award from the American Philosophical Society and the Distinguished Scientific Contribution Award from the American Psychological Association.In addition to his research, Chalupa has also been a dedicated educator and mentor. He has held faculty positions at several prestigious universities, including the University of California, Davis, and the University of California, Los Angeles. He has also served as the Vice President for Research and Dean of the Graduate School at the George Washington University.Chalupa is a Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science and a member of the National Academy of Sciences. He has also served on numerous advisory boards and committees, including the National Institutes of Health and the National Science Foundation.Throughout his career, Chalupa has been committed to advancing our understanding of the brain and its functions. His work has had a profound impact on the field of neuroscience, and he continues to inspire and mentor the next generation of scientists.






Source: https://www.edge.org/responses/q2015



Keywords: neurons, cerebral cortex, functional circuits