Lawrence M. Krauss on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Lawrence M. Krauss in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

Moreover, each doubling in efficiency requires a relatively radical change in technology, and it is extremely unlikely that 40 such doublings could be achieved without essentially changing the way computers compute.



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Lawrence M. Krauss:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

Achieving a doubling in efficiency requires a significant change in technology. It is unlikely that 40 such doublings could be achieved without fundamentally changing the way computers compute. Therefore, a radical change in technology is necessary to achieve such a feat.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

There has of late been a great deal of ink devoted to concerns about artificial intelligence, and a future world where machines can “think,” where the latter term ranges from simple autonomous decision-making to full fledged self-awareness. I don’t share most of these concerns, and I am personally quite excited by the possibility of experiencing thinking machines,


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The author is not worried about the potential of artificial intelligence and is actually excited about the idea of thinking machines. Many people have expressed concerns about the future of AI and its potential impact on society. The author disagrees with these concerns.




Lawrence M. Krauss is a renowned theoretical physicist, cosmologist, and author. He was born on May 27, 1954, in New York City, USA. Krauss received his undergraduate degree in physics from Carleton University in Ottawa, Canada, and his Ph.D. in physics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in 1982.Krauss has made significant contributions to the fields of particle physics, cosmology, and astrophysics. He has authored over 300 scientific publications and 10 books, including the bestsellers “The Physics of Star Trek” and “A Universe from Nothing.” Krauss is also a frequent contributor to popular science magazines and has appeared on numerous television and radio programs.In addition to his research and writing, Krauss is a passionate advocate for science education and public outreach. He has served as the Chair of the Board of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists and as a member of the Board of Sponsors of the Federation of American Scientists. He is also a Fellow of the American Physical Society and a recipient of numerous awards and honors, including the American Association for the Advancement of Science’s Public Understanding of Science and Technology Award.Krauss has held academic positions at several prestigious institutions, including Yale University, Case Western Reserve University, and Arizona State University, where he is currently a Foundation Professor in the School of Earth and Space Exploration and the Physics Department. He has also been a visiting professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics.Overall, Lawrence M. Krauss is a highly respected and influential figure in the world of physics and science education. His work has helped to advance our understanding of the universe and inspire a new generation of scientists and science enthusiasts.









Keywords: computers, technology, artificial intelligence