This AI Prediction was made by Kenneth D. Forbus in 2010.
Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)
The next 30 years are going to be extremely exciting for AI researchers. This period will see programs that approach—and possibly reach—human‐level artificial intelligence.
Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Kenneth D. Forbus:
Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:
The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:
Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:
Kenneth D. Forbus is a computer scientist and cognitive psychologist who is known for his work on cognitive architectures, which are computational models of human cognition. He is particularly interested in the development of AI systems that can reason and learn in ways that are similar to human beings.Forbus is a professor of computer science and psychology at Northwestern University, where he has been on the faculty since 1986. He is the founder of the Qualitative Reasoning Group at Northwestern, which is a research group that focuses on the development of AI systems that can reason qualitatively about the physical world. Forbus has also been involved in several large-scale AI projects, including the development of the Soar cognitive architecture.