Kai Krause on 2015

This AI Prediction was made by Kai Krause in 2015.


Predicted time for AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

(Hover for explanation)Types of advanced artificial intelligence: AGI (AI that can perform many tasks at a human-level), HLMI (more advanced AI that surpasses human intelligence in specific areas), and Transformative AI (AI that could significantly impact society and the world)

In this issue, I reluctantly support supporters: Exaflops in CPU GPU performance, 10K VR resolution, Petabyte personal databases … after a couple of decades. But this is not all “iterative.”



Opinion about the Intelligence Explosion from Kai Krause:

Not provided


Flycer’s explanation for better understanding:

The author supports the idea of Exaflops in CPU GPU performance, 10K VR resolution, and Petabyte personal databases, but only after a couple of decades. However, the author believes that these advancements are not just iterative.



The future of humanity with AGI / HLMI / transformative AI:

The real danger, I fear, is much more mundane: Already foreshadowing the ominous truth: AI systems are now licensed to the Health Industry, Pharma giants, Energy MultiNationals, Insurance companies, the Military…The danger will not come from Machina Sapiens. It will be… quite human.


Flycer’s Secondary Explanation:

The author believes that the real danger of AI is not from sentient machines, but from its use by various industries such as healthcare, pharmaceuticals, energy, insurance, and military. The author suggests that the danger will be caused by human actions rather than by AI itself. The article foreshadows a potentially ominous future for AI in these industries.




Kai Krause is a German software designer and entrepreneur who has made significant contributions to the field of computer graphics and user interface design. Born in 1957 in Dortmund, Germany, Krause developed an early interest in technology and design, which led him to study computer science at the Technical University of Aachen.After completing his studies, Krause moved to California in the early 1980s to work for Atari, where he developed software for the company’s popular video game consoles. He later joined Apple Computer, where he worked on the development of the Macintosh operating system and helped to design the iconic Apple logo.In the 1990s, Krause founded MetaTools, a software company that specialized in creating graphics and design tools for digital artists. The company’s flagship product, Kai’s Power Tools, became a popular tool for graphic designers and artists, and helped to establish Krause as a leading figure in the field of computer graphics.In addition to his work in software design, Krause has also been involved in a number of entrepreneurial ventures, including the creation of a virtual reality platform called CyberTown and the development of a mobile app for language learning called Lingolook.Throughout his career, Krause has been recognized for his contributions to the field of computer graphics and design. He has received numerous awards and honors, including the SIGGRAPH Computer Graphics Achievement Award and the Macworld Lifetime Achievement Award. Today, he continues to work as a software designer and entrepreneur, and is widely regarded as one of the most influential figures in the field of computer graphics.






Source: https://www.edge.org/responses/q2015